America's Solar Energy Potential
Every hour, the sun radiates more energy onto the earth
than the entire human population uses in one whole year. The technology required to harness the power of the sun is available
now. Solar power alone could provide all of the energy Americans consume — there
is no shortage of solar energy. The following paragraphs will give you
the information you need to prove this to yourself and
others. You do not need advanced math skills to follow and perform the
arithmetic
examples shown below. Anyone who can balance a checkbook or calculate
the total square feet of floor space in his or her home, and understand
why an area measuring 10 yards by 10 yards equals 100 square yards, can
perform the following arithmetic examples and prove that American energy
independence could be achieved with solar energy alone.
Science tells us that every square meter of the earth's surface, when
exposed to direct sunlight,
receives about 1000 watts (1 kilowatt) of energy from the sun's light.
Depending on the angle of sunlight, which changes with the time of day,
and the geographical location [see map below], the power of the sun's
light will be somewhat more or less than 1 kilowatt-hour per hour for
every
square
meter of the
earth's surface exposed to the sun.
On average, and particularly in the Sunbelt regions of the Southwestern
United States, every square meter area exposed to direct sunlight will
receive about 1 kilowatt-hour per hour of solar energy. However, scientists
estimate that sunlight will provide useful solar energy for only about
6 to 7 hours per day because during the early hours and late hours of
the day the angle of the sun's light is too low. So, for example, if the
sun's light provides 6 productive hours of solar energy per day, then
a square meter of land in direct sunlight will receive about 6 kilowatt-hours
of solar energy during the course of a day.
Scientists like to measure things using the metric system. However, most
Americans are unfamiliar with the metric system. (Europeans use the metric
system.) It is easier for Americans to think in square feet and square
yards because feet and yards are common lengths in the United States.
So, for the sake of clarity and because this is written for an American
audience, all measurements will be converted from meters to yards.
A meter is just a little longer than a yard (about 3 and ¼ feet
to a meter, compared with 3 feet to a yard). There are 10.8 square feet
in a square meter. There are 9 square feet in a square yard (3x3=9).
A simple calculation can accomplish the conversion from square meters
to
square yards. A square yard is 83.33 percent of a square meter. Prove
this by multiplying 10.8 (the number of square feet in a square meter)
by 83.33%. The answer is nine (the number of square feet in a square
yard). If you perform the calculation you will see that the answer is
slightly
less than the whole number 9 (but close enough for our purpose). Using
this conversion, we can say that a square yard of land in direct sunlight
receives 1000 x 83.33% = 833 watts of solar energy. This calculation
can also be used in reverse to convert yards to meters, simply divide
by .8333
(833 divided by .8333 = 1000 rounded).
Every square yard of land, if exposed to direct sunlight, receives
about 833 watts of
solar energy [NOTE: see the map above, and adjust the estimated amount
of solar energy accordingly]. Therefore, a one square yard area exposed
to continuous direct
sunlight [in an optimal geographical location] for six hours will have
received
6 hours
x
833 watts
= 4,998
watt-hours of
solar energy during the course of a day. In round numbers, a one square
yard area will receive about 5000 watt-hours (5 kilowatt-hours)
per day of solar energy. Another way to obtain this result would be
to
take the 6 kilowatt-hours per meter (explained above in the third paragraph)
and apply the conversion calculation (6 x 83.33% = 5 rounded).
Americans can assume, at least in the Sunbelt regions of the southwestern
United States, that every square yard of land
exposed to direct sunlight will receive about 5 kilowatt-hours
per day of solar energy. With the above information in mind,
perform the following exercise: Measure an area ten yards long and ten
yards wide. That would be thirty feet by thirty feet. Take a good look
at the size of it. You are looking at an area covering 100 square yards.
If that area were in direct sunlight all day it would receive about (5
x 100) 500 kilowatt-hours per day of solar energy.
Now go look at your home electric bill. Your electric company calculates
your home electric bill based on how many kilowatt-hours of electrical
energy you use. Find the total amount of electricity that you have
been billed for (given in kilowatt-hours). The amount of kilowatt-hours
on your bill is for an entire month. If your home is a typical residential
electric customer, you and your family consume between 500 and 1000 kilowatt-hours
of electricity per month. Compare the quantity of electric energy your
home consumed in one month with the quantity of energy the sun gives freely
to a 100 square yard area exposed to direct sunlight. One hundred square
yards of sunshine provides as much energy in 1 to 2 days as an average
family uses in an entire month!
It would be great if 100% of the sunshine became electricity, but solar
energy and electricity are not the same. Technology accomplishes the conversion
of solar energy to electricity. Several different technologies are used;
perhaps the one that most people have heard of is the solar panel, made
from photovoltaic cells called PV.
For a detailed explanation of photovoltaic cells there is a very good
article on the Internet located at:
www.howstuffworks.com/solar-cell.htm, it is well written and easy
to read.
Conversion of one form of energy to another always causes a loss of
energy. In other words, the new form of energy will be less than the original.
Efficiency is the word scientists use to describe the difference in power
resulting from the conversion of one form of energy to another. The efficiency
of commercially available solar panels (PV) is about 15%. This means that
when a solar panel converts the sun's light to electricity, only about
15 percent of the energy in the sunlight becomes electricity. The same
thing is true of gasoline in your car. Your car's engine can only convert
about twenty-five percent of the energy in gasoline to mechanical energy
that turns the wheels.
With an average efficiency of 15 percent, a square yard of solar photovoltaic
cells (PV) would produce (5 kilowatt-hours of solar
energy multiplied by 15% =) .75 kilowatt-hours
of electric energy per day. Solar panels (PV) covering an area
ten yards by ten yards (100 square yards or 900 square feet) would produce
100 x .75 = 75 kilowatt-hours of electricity per day.
Seventy-five kilowatt-hours per day is a lot of electricity for a single-family
home. If part of the electricity is stored in a home battery, or is
used to electrolyze water for producing
hydrogen gas, and the gas is stored for use by a fuel cell when needed,
then 100 square yards covered with solar panels would provide an average
family with energy independence. Most detached family homes have more
than 100 square yards (900 square feet) of roof, or that much space
around their homes where
solar panels could be installed.
In the Southwest, if you look at any commercial or industrial park, or
any typical mall or supermarket you will see that most of the buildings
have flat roofs. Those roofs require insulation to lower the cost of air
conditioning on hot days. If those roofs where covered with solar panels
the sun would provide electricity for the air conditioning and save businesses
millions of dollars per month that would otherwise be paid to the utility
companies.
Another technology, Concentrated Solar Power (CSP), takes a
different approach to harnessing the power of the sun. Unlike photovoltaic
cells, CSP uses mirrors to concentrate the sunlight on a focal point,
which magnifies the suns heat. Similar to holding a magnifying glass in
the sun, focusing the light onto a piece of paper until the paper catches
on fire.
CSP technology has more than one form. Troughs, dishes and towers
are the different forms available today. A CSP dish or tower looks like
a modern glass sculpture and contributes aesthetically to the landscape.
CSP systems can achieve 30 percent efficiency,
or about twice the efficiency of standard photovoltaic
cells (2 x .75 = 1.5 kilowatt-hours per square
yard per day).
Large Concentrating Solar Power plants create the thermal energy equivalent
to conventional fossil fuel power plants. After the sun sets, CSP plants
generate electricity from
cost-effective thermal storage, providing 24-hour service to the power
grid.
Consider the solar energy potential of one acre of land. There are 43,560
square feet in an acre. Divide the number of square feet in one acre by
9 (the number of square feet in one square yard) and you find that there
are 4,840 square yards in one acre of land. A CSP dish, tower, or trough
receiving an acre of sunshine would yield about (1.5 kilowatt-hours per
square yard times 4,840 square yards per acre) 7,260 kilowatt-hours of
electricity per day, at 30% efficiency. One acre
has enough solar energy potential to yield 7.26 megawatt-hours of electricity
per day, using technology that exists now. (Each thousand kilowatts
is one million watts. A million watts is a megawatt.)
Consider the solar energy potential of one square mile of land. A square
mile is 640 acres. One square mile of sunshine has
the potential of providing (640 acres x 7.26 megawatt-hours) 4,646
megawatt-hours per day of electricity using existing CSP technology
at 30% efficiency.
Ten thousand square miles is a plot of land 100 miles long by 100 miles
wide. Multiply 640 acres by 10,000 square miles equals 6,400,000 acres.
With a yield of 7.26 megawatt-hours of electricity per day per acre,
a CSP system receiving 6,400,000 acres of sunshine would produce about
46,464,000
megawatt-hours of electricity per day.
What does this mean?
The entire State of California
uses about 50,000 megawatt-hours of electricity per hour at peak time,
and much less during off-peak hours: Sweltering California declares power emergency —Cal
ISO expects record demand at 52,336 megawatts.
www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/2004-07-08_SUMMER_DEMAND.PDF
size: 68 Kb
www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/2003-01-28_OUTLOOK.PDF
size: 170 Kb
www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/peak_demand/2002-07-10_CHART.PDF
size: 20 Kb
Suppose that California
uses an average of 38,000 megawatt-hours of electricity per hour
over
a 24-hour period, then 24 hours x 38,000 megawatts = 912,000 megawatt-hours
per day, multiplied by 365 = 333,880,000 megawatt-hours per year.
This supposed average
is too high because in 2005, California actually consumed 288,245,000
megawatt-Hours (MWh) for the entire
year:
www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/gross_system_power.html
A CSP farm large enough to capture the solar energy radiating on an
area of land 100 miles long by 100 miles wide can produce about 50 times
more electricity in a day than
California consumes in a 24-hour period. For example, 50 x 912,000
= 45,600,000 megawatt-hours per day.
Imagine driving your car 100 miles along one side of the CSP farm, then
turn 90 degrees right and drive 100 miles along another side,
then turn 90 degrees right again and drive another 100 miles, then make
another 90 degree right turn and drive another 100 miles to complete driving
a 100 mile square. Inside that area is 10,000 square miles or 6,400,000
acres.
A 10,000 square mile solar energy farm that produces 46,464,000
megawatt-hours of electricity per day would produce 365 x 46,464,000
= 16,956,360,000 megawatt-hours of electricity per year or about
17 trillion kilowatt-hours, which is 17,000 terawatt-hours or
17 petawatt-hours.
Tera-
(symbol: T) is a prefix in the SI
system of units denoting 1012, 1 Trillion
or 1,000,000,000,000 (1 million million) therefore, 1 terawatt = 1 Trillion watts.
In physics and mathematics, peta-
(symbol: P) is a prefix in the SI (system of units) denoting 1015,
1 Quadrillion or 1,000,000,000,000,000 (one billion million) therefore,
1 petawatt = 1 Quadrillion watts.
The CSP examples above assume 30 percent energy conversion efficiency
and 100 percent land use. In a practical application, not all of the
land area will be used. This is because of unfavorable terrain and the need
for service roads and land for plant facilities. And, the solar collectors
must be individually positioned for optimal orientation to the angle of
sunlight and given enough space between collectors to prevent a collector
from casting a shadow on adjacent collectors; the result is unused space
between the collectors. For these reasons, actual electricity production
will be less than the numbers shown in the examples. However, the desert
regions of the southwestern United States will easily produce 7 hours
of productive sunlight per day, and often exceed 1 kilowatt of solar energy
per square meter, so in that respect the above calculations are conservative.
All of California's electricity can be produced from 200 square miles
of sunshine; 128,000 acres of desert land. Lake Mead, behind Hoover Dam,
covers more than 200 square miles. Given an area the size of Lake Mead,
for the production of electricity from solar energy, California would
be energy independent.
CSP plants seem to use a lot of land, but in reality, they use less land
than hydroelectric dams for generating an equivalent electricity output,
if the size of the lake behind the dam is considered. The same is true
for coal plants. A CSP plant will not use any more land than a coal power
plant if the amount of land required for mining and excavation of the
coal is taken into consideration.
If the sunshine radiating on the surface of an area 100 miles wide by
100 miles long would provide all of the electricity that America needs,
every day, why would Americans hesitate to use it? There are millions
of open acres in the deserts of America, where the sun's energy does
nothing more than heat rocks and sand.
In 1942, General Patton established a training area in the deserts of
the southwestern United States to train and prepare American soldiers
to fight in the deserts of North Africa during World War II. Patton's
original training area was 18,000 square miles, and then expanded to 87,500
square miles (350 miles x 250 miles), an area stretching from Boulder
City, Nevada to the Mexican border and from Phoenix, Arizona to Pomona,
California. One million soldiers trained in this area using tanks, artillery
and aircraft. The desert is very resilient, there is little evidence today
of injury to the desert ecosystem.
www.militarymuseum.org/CAMA.html
The point being, the federal government can “borrow” public
land from the National and State desert Parks for the purpose of building
a national solar energy system. The system would only be needed until
fusion energy, or something like it, is developed, then the land would
be returned to nature in the care of the public parks service. Time,
sand
and the desert wind would gradually remove all evidence of technologies
brief occupancy. In the meantime, the lizards, turtles, snakes and scorpions
would hide and sleep in the shade under the giant mirrors and troughs.
The reason why solar energy has not been development on a large scale
is the cost. Not the cost of sunshine, that is free. Private investors
resist putting their money into solar energy projects because of the
high
upfront capital investment required for plant and equipment. The initial
investment is what causes the price per kilowatt-hour for electricity
from solar energy to be higher than the price of electricity generated
from natural gas or coal. The estimated kilowatt-hour rates assigned
to
solar energy are not based on the cost of electricity generation, they
are based on the cost of the investment capital and the requirement to
earn a return on investment, or pay back the loan for the investment.
Remember, the solar fuel is free.
Solar energy would not be expensive if the cost of the initial capital
investment is not factored into the price per kilowatt-hour.
With the obvious enormous public benefit a national solar energy system
would provide, why is the government holding back? Should solar energy
be a public works project? We have a good example that may help answer
that question. Southern California, as it is seen today, would not exist
without Hoover Dam and the Colorado River Aqueduct, because without the
Colorado River water the current population of Southern California would
never have happened. Southern California does not have enough natural
water to support the demand of a small fraction of its current population.
The federal government funded Hoover Dam and the Colorado River Aqueduct.
The economy of Southern California, having grown because of that funding
and other public investments, has returned more in tax revenue than was
spent building the dam and aqueduct, plus the sale of water and electricity
has earned enough to pay the federal government back the amount of the
original funding, with interest.
The Following is quoted from the Executive Summary of a report by Sargent
& Lundy engineering, titled: Assessment of Parabolic Trough
and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and Performance Forecasts,
delivered to the U.S. DOE National Renewable Energy Laboratory:
Based on this review, it is S&L’s opinion
that CSP technology is a proven technology for energy production, there
is a potential market for CSP technology, and that significant cost
reductions are achievable assuming reasonable deployment of CSP technologies
occurs. S&L independently projected capital and O&M costs, from
which the levelized energy costs were derived, based on a conservative
approach whereby the technology improvements are limited to current
demonstrated or tested improvements and with a relatively low rate of
deployment.
The projections for electrical power consumption in the United States
and worldwide vary depending on the study, but there will be a significant
increase in installed capacity due to increased demand through 2020.
Trough and tower solar power plants can compete with technologies that
provide bulk power to the electric utility transmission and distribution
systems if market entry barriers are overcome:
- Market expansion of trough and tower technology
will require incentives to reach market acceptance (competitiveness).
Both tower and trough technology currently produce electricity that
is more expensive than conventional fossil-fueled technology.
- Significant cost reductions will be required
to reach market acceptance (competitiveness). S&L focused on the potential
of cost reductions with the assumption that incentives will occur
to support deployment through market expansion.
For the more technically aggressive low-cost
case, S&L found the National Laboratories' "SunLab" methodology and
analysis to be credible. The projections by SunLab, developed in conjunction
with industry, are considered by S&L to represent a "best-case analysis"
in which the technology is optimized and a high deployment rate is achieved.
The two sets of estimates, by SunLab and S&L, provide a band within
which the costs can be expected to fall. The figure and table below
highlight these results, with initial electricity costs in the range
of 10 to 12.6 ¢/kWh and eventually achieving costs in the range of 3.5
to 6.2 ¢/kWh. The specific values will depend on total capacity of various
technologies deployed and the extent of R&D program success. In the
technically aggressive cases for troughs / towers, the S&L analysis
found that cost reductions were due to volume production (26%/28%),
plant scale-up (20%/48%), and technological advance (54%/24%).
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
www.nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/35060.pdf
size: 589 Kb
Downloads a 47 page Adobe PDF document.

Solar Energy R&D: Solar cost decreases 10% per year

Solar Energy News:
• Solar at the cost of Coal — Welcome
to the Revolution
— “How can solar energy–with its reputation for high
cost–compete with baseload coal, still the dominant fuel for U.S. electric
power generation? ... I truly believe it’s doable, ... I believe it’s
even doable without assigning a cost to carbon. .. Seen in that light,
solar at the cost of coal may not be so far-fetched after all.”
• Artificial Photosynthesis - U.S. Department of Energy
— “After nearly 3 billion years of evolution, nature can effectively convert
sunlight into energy-rich chemical fuels using the abundant feedstocks of water
and carbon dioxide. All fuels used today to power vehicles and create electricity,
whether from fossil or biomass resources, are ultimately derived from photosynthesis...
plants and photosynthetic microbes were not designed to meet human energy needs
- much of the energy captured from the sun is necessarily devoted to the life
processes of the plants. Imagine the potential energy benefits if we could generate
fuels directly from sunlight, carbon dioxide, and water in a manner analogous
to the natural system, but without the need to maintain life processes. The impact
of replacing fossil fuels with fuels generated directly by sunlight would be
immediate and revolutionary.”
• Turning
sunlight into liquid fuels — Using the energy of
sunlight to produce pure hydrogen and oxygen from water molecules without
electrolysis
•
Inspired by the photosynthesis performed by plants
—MIT Scientists mimic essence of plants' energy storage system
•
Harnessing sunlight on the cheap
—MIT student project aims to develop cost-efficient solar power
•
Solar farm to rise over 3 square miles in Arizona
—Spanish company to build, operate $1 billion plant based on mirrors, turbine
•
Solar farms to rise on California rooftops
—Southern California Edison Co. plans to
build the nation's largest solar energy installation—an
array of collector cells covering two square miles of rooftops that could
power about 162,000 homes.
•
The Solar America Initiative
•
Silicon Nanocrystals for Superefficient Solar Cells
•
Storing Solar Power Efficiently —Thermal-power plants that store heat for cloudy days could solve some of the problems with solar power
•
Sunlight used to smelt zinc
•
High-schoolers finish solar car race
• One
man's castle runs on hydrogen
•
Solar power boom comes with pains
•
Honda Entering Solar Cell Market for Homes and Vehicles
•
BP, Caltech team up on solar power —Silicon in nanorods could open door to radical breakthrough
•
New World Record Achieved in Solar Cell Technology •December 2006
—New Solar Cell Breaks the 40 Percent
Efficient Sunlight-to-Electricity Barrier: Boeing
[NYSE: BA] today announced that Spectrolab, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary,
has achieved a new world record in terrestrial concentrator solar cell
efficiency. Using concentrated sunlight, Spectrolab demonstrated the ability
of a photovoltaic cell to convert 40.7 percent of the sun's energy into
electricity. The U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy
Laboratory (NREL) in Golden, Colo., verified the milestone.
“This solar cell performance is the highest efficiency level any photovoltaic
device has ever achieved,” said Dr. David Lillington, president of Spectrolab.
“The
terrestrial cell we have developed uses the same technology base as our space-based
cells. So, once qualified, they can be manufactured in very high volumes with
minimal impact to production flow.”
High efficiency multijunction cells have a significant advantage over conventional
silicon cells in concentrator systems because fewer solar cells are required
to achieve the same power output. This technology will continue to dramatically
reduce the cost of generating electricity from solar energy as well as
the cost of materials used in high-power space satellites and terrestrial
applications.
“These results are particularly encouraging since they were achieved
using a new class of metamorphic semiconductor materials, allowing much
greater freedom in multijunction cell design for optimal conversion of
the solar spectrum,” said Dr. Richard R. King, principal investigator
of the high efficiency solar cell research and development effort. “The
excellent performance of these materials hints at still higher efficiency
in future solar cells.”
Spectrolab high-efficiency multijunction solar concentrator cells
—Boeing
Spectrolab
•
Cheap, Superefficient Solar
—Solar-power modules that concentrate the power of the sun are becoming more viable.
•
Cheaper, More Efficient photonic crystals
—A new type of material could allow solar cells to harvest far
more light.
•
Solar Power at Half the Cost
—A new roof-mounted system that concentrates sunlight could cut the price of photovoltaics.
•
Supplying the World's Energy Needs with Light and Water
—A new roof-mounted system that concentrates sunlight could cut the price of photovoltaics.
A leading chemist says that a better understanding of photosynthesis could lead to cheap ways to store solar energy as chemical fuel.
Solar Energy Storage:
Nanowire
battery can hold 10 times the charge of existing lithium-ion battery
December 18, 2007 “Stanford researchers have found a way to use silicon
nanowires to reinvent the rechargeable lithium-ion batteries. The new technology,
developed through research led by Yi Cui, assistant professor of materials science
and engineering, produces 10 times the amount of electricity of existing lithium-ion,
known as Li-ion, batteries. A laptop that now runs on battery for two hours could
operate for 20 hours.”
Interview with Dr. Cui, Inventor of Silicon Nanowire Lithium-ion Battery Breakthrough
High-Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) Transmission:
GE
HVDC technology
ABB HVDC technology
High-Voltage Transmission Lines
Superconducting Transmission Lines
Nanotechnology leads to discovery of super superconductors
High-Voltage Composite Electricity Transmission Lines:
Composite
Technology Corporation
Composite-Reinforced Aluminum Conductor (CRAC)
CRAC-TelePower: Electricity and Data over the same line
Produced by the California Energy Commission
The 44 page report is a 238 KB Adobe PDF document.
Reference links:
Power from the sun
CSP - How it Works
Concentrating Solar Power
Frequently Asked Questions
Boeing Spectrolab Solar Cells
The Solar Tres power tower plant
Solar Tres Project - solarpaces.org
Thermal solar power tower - history
Solar Radiation Resource Information
The National Solar Thermal Test Facility
TroughNet
- Parabolic Trough Solar Power
Thermal Storage Research and Development
The El Paso
Salinity Gradient Solar Pond (SGSP)
Parabolic Trough Power Plant System Technology
Solar Two Demonstrates Clean Power for the Future
Advantages of Using Molten Salt for thermal storage
Frequently Asked Questions about Photovoltaics (PV)
Download SunLab Solar Energy Technology White Papers
Report to Congress: 1,000 megawatts of Solar power by 2006
size: 956 Kb
U.S. Department
of Energy's Solar Energy Technologies program
NREL and Research
Partners Work to Trim Solar Electricity Costs
Research and Development Advances in Concentrating Solar Power
Lunar
Solar Power System by Professor of Physics
David Criswell
Assessment of Parabolic Trough and Power Tower Solar Technology Cost and
Performance
size: 589 Kb
The Centre for Sustainable
Energy Systems (CSES) at the Australian National University (ANU)
FRESNEL LENS:
Green Power Science
When placed in the sun, a fresnel lens will act as a giant magnifying glass and concentrate light to a very small point. Most large fresnel lenses will concentrate several square feet of sunlight to less than an inch resulting in a hot spot over 2000 degrees Fahrenheit. This will cause wood to instantly catch on fire or zinc and copper metal to melt in a few seconds or even burn and vaporize. We have boiled 12 oz. of water in a dark glass bottle in 90 seconds and burned a hole in a stainless steel bowl.. One gallon of water was boiled in 30 minutes.

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