“Climate change may have certain security implications,
but generally speaking it is in essence an issue of sustainable
development.”
—United Nations Chinese ambassador Liu Zhenmin,
First UN Security Council debate on climate change,
April 17, 2007
Global Warming
During the last 365 days—one year—worldwide human activity
has caused about 7 billion tons of carbon to be released into the atmosphere.
This figure does not include carbon that is released by natural causes,
such as volcanoes, forest fires or by naturally decomposing organic matter. The
7 billion tons of carbon produced by humans (Anthropogenic carbon) pours
out of industrial smokestacks and vehicle tailpipes. The term anthropogenic
is used to indicate the presumption of human influence.
When renewable biofuels release carbon
into the atmosphere the emissions are considered to be carbon neutral
because the carbon is continuously
recycled from the atmosphere as new energy
crops are
grown each season to make more biofuels. This is not true for fossil
fuels.
The carbon released by burning fossil
fuels
is
not
part
of the
natural
carbon cycle—because
the excess carbon stays in the atmosphere. In contrast, carbon atoms
released
from the combustion of biofuels, such as
biodiesel and
ethanol, do not cause a net increase of carbon in the
atmosphere because growing the crops takes an equal amount of carbon
out of the atmosphere
and releases oxygen back into the atmosphere.
Global Warming 101
Global warming could do more than just melt polar ice. It could change our maps, and displace people from cities and tropical islands.
Worldwide burning of fossil fuels will produce and release into the atmosphere
about 25 billion tons of waste carbon dioxide (CO2) this year. How do we
get
25 billion tons of CO2 from 7 billion tons of carbon? Annual global anthropogenic
carbon released into the atmosphere is currently about
7 billion tons. When fossil fuels are burned, the carbon atoms from
the fossil fuel combine with oxygen atoms from the air to form CO2. This
is why oxygen must be present before fuel will burn—Removing oxygen
from a flame is a very effective way to put out a fire.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Friday May 4, 2007 in Bangkok, Thailand
One CO2 molecule weighs about 3.67 times more than a single carbon atom
[Q#9].
Consequently, one ton of pure carbon combined with oxygen will produce
3.67 tons of CO2; and
7 billion tons of carbon emissions will create about 25
billion tons of CO2. This also means that 18 billion tons of oxygen will
be removed from the atmosphere to combine with the carbon atoms
to make the CO2—oxygen that would otherwise naturally be available
for air breathing creatures to inhale.
CO2 is a greenhouse gas (GHG) because excessive accumulation of CO2 in
the earth's atmosphere will cause heat to remain in the atmosphere; heat
that would otherwise dissipate into outer space. CO2 is only a problem
when the total quantity of CO2 in the atmosphere becomes too much. How
much is too much? When the average temperature of the planet's biosphere
increases and begins to adversely effect the world's climate.
As globalization and modernization spread throughout the world, fossil
fuel consumption is continuing to grow, steadily increasing the volume
of man-made CO2. Fears of Global
Warming are focused on CO2.
The Earth's natural systems can no longer absorb or recycle all of the
CO2 that human civilization produces each year. The excess CO2 is accumulating
in the atmosphere increasing the greenhouse
effect (trapping the sun's heat within the atmosphere). If too much
heat is trapped the average temperature of the planet and the oceans will
increase. An increase of only a few degrees can cause the earth's climate
and weather conditions to change dramatically.
If the earth is warming, why have there been so many snow storms?
The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere and in the ocean surface waters
are always in equilibrium. As CO2 increases in the atmosphere more CO2
is
forced into the ocean surface waters making the ocean more acidic. Ocean
acidity, or acidification, is an environmental issue that may be
more damaging than Global Warming. Ocean life forms: coral - plankton
- and
fish are sensitive to the PH conditions of the ocean. There is a limit
to the acidity that they can live with. Experiments atBiosphere II have shown that acidity levels corresponding
to twice the pre-industrial atmospheric CO2 concentrations stunt coral
growth
by about 1/3. Pre-industrial CO2 levels were about 280 ppm (parts per
million), and we are now at about 370 ppm. If humanity continues to release
non-renewable CO2 into the atmosphere,
at the present rate, CO2 levels will reach 560 ppm by the middle of this
century.
Other than the acid effect on large bodies of water (and perhaps the
acidification of soil), CO2 is not toxic, in fact, CO2 is a food for
growing
plants and trees. One of the arguments in favor of increased CO2 levels
is made by those who claim that the increase of CO2 in the air will
help
farmers to produce more crops. Some arguments even claim that forests
will grow faster and bigger because of the increased levels of CO2,
and
therefore will take more CO2 out of the atmosphere until a balance is
reached. There is some truth to this. Some regions will benefit from
increased
CO2 levels. However, those benefits must be weighed against the evidence
that global
warming is contributing to the expansion of the world’s deserts.
Heat and drought increase the amount of the Earth's land surface consumed
by desertification (encroaching deserts). And, the increased warming
will cause the Polar Ice Caps to melt. The projected long term problems
are
severe. The benefit of a few seasons of increased crop yield is far outweighed
by the threat of expanding deserts and the expense of losing much
of Florida
and our costal beach cities to rising sea levels and storms.
Evidence
supports the prediction that global warming will continue until human
civilization stops releasing greenhouse gases into the atmosphere
(and stops cutting down the world's forests). There is disagreement
among scientists regarding global warming, but the dark side of the
argument
predicts ecological devastation.
A
number of scientists continue to reject the idea that global warming
is influenced by CO2 accumulating in the atmosphere
“We believe that there is substantial doubt that carbon emissions
are the cause of global warming (GW). Much of the warming effect attributed
to carbon dioxide is in our view due to a natural increase in solar irradiance
accompanied by a related increase
in atmospheric water vapor levels. The
latter is more effective as a GW forcing agent than carbon dioxide (we
estimate its GWP = 1.75 compared to 1.0 for CO2) and is present in the
atmosphere in far greater quantities. We therefore believe that water
vapor, rather than CO2 is the dominant forcing agent in global warming
(with a little help from the sun and perhaps from other greenhouse gases)
and that the increase in atmospheric CO2 levels is a secondary effect.”
A rebuttal to the theory that global warming
is caused by a natural increase in solar irradiance accompanied by a
related increase in atmospheric water vapor levels: The problem with
the theory is that solar irradiance is not increasing
- rather, it is decreasing. This is due to pollution reflecting sunlight
back out into space. Incident sunlight on the atmosphere (before pollution
has a chance to reflect it) hasn't had a general upward trend, as some
greenhouse effect opponents want to claim. It has fluctuated, and there
is a general correlation between that and temperature. Sunlight is the
prime factor in earth's temperatures.
The increase in warming
we've seen over the past 100 years simply cannot be due to these fluctuating
sunlight levels, since there has not been a general upwards trend, and
not nearly enough of an increase in sunlight (reaching the atmosphere)
to cause the warming we've seen. Plus, pollution is reflecting more and
more sunlight out, which would by itself result in a DROP in temperatures.
The question of how much
of an impact CO2 has is still a wide open debate. But, it is undeniable
that increasing CO2 levels DOES have an impact. How much is the question.
Since it has to have an impact (since it essentially acts like an insulating
layer to trap in heat), it is simply prudent to avoid increasing CO2 levels
if possible.
Consider that if you
sit in a parked car (with no air conditioning) in the summer, the temperature
inside the car gets hotter when it's sunnier than when it's cloudy. So
yes, of course sunlight levels have an impact. But, that doesn't mean
rolling your windows up instead of having them down wouldn't trap in more
heat. CO2 in the atmosphere essentially acts like having your windows
up - as it traps in heat (while allowing visible light to pass through).
The fundamental flaw
in logic used by most who don't agree that warming is being caused by
CO2 is they want to argue that if we can find any one thing that does
have a warming effect, that must mean it is the cause of ALL warming,
and CO2 cannot therefore have an impact. The problem is that none of the
causes they want to blame can come anywhere close to what we've seen.
It's a combination of factors - with CO2 being one of them.
-Michael S.
Briggs
University of New Hampshire Physics Department
Global Carbon Trading Scam UNITED NATIONS — An obscure U.N. board that oversees a $2.7 billion
market intended to cut heat-trapping gases has agreed to take steps
that could lead to it eventually reining in what European and U.S.
environmentalists are calling a huge scam.
Could Global Warming Become a Runaway Train? —Scientists say warm weather adds to global warming because of “feedback loops.”
In a feedback loop, the rising temperature on the Earth changes the environment in ways that then create even more heat.
Scientists consider feedback loops the single-biggest threat to civilization from global warming. Past a certain point ? the tipping point, they say ? there may be no stopping the changes.
Oceans
to acid—Oceans act as giant sponges for CO2 - but what
eases global warming harms marine life.
Probe
into rising ocean acidity—The UK's Royal Society has
launched an investigation into the rising acidity of the world's oceans
due to pollution from the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide. The change could
have catastrophic consequences for marine life.
Climate warning from the deep—Strange things are happening
in the North Sea. Cod stocks are slumping faster than over-fishing can
account for, and Mediterranean species like red mullet are migrating
north.
Acid
oceans spell doom for coral—The increasing acidity
of the world's oceans could banish all coral by 2065, a leading marine
expert has warned.
Coral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification—Atmospheric
carbon dioxide concentration is expected to exceed 500 parts per million and
global temperatures to rise by at least 2°C by 2050 to 2100, values
that significantly exceed those of at least the past 420,000 years during which most extant marine organisms evolved.
Under conditions expected in the 21st century, global warming and ocean acidification will compromise carbonate accretion,
with corals becoming increasingly rare on reef systems.
Science Magazine - December 14, 2007
Vol. 318. no. 5857, pp. 1737 - 1742