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The 2008 Presidential Campaign
The 2008 election will decide the future of America. There will be open
races for both the Republican and Democratic parties' 2008 presidential
nominations. For the first time since 1952 a sitting president or vice
president will not be a candidate for nomination of either major party.
The 2008 presidential campaign could be the defining election of this generation,
with economic and political consequences throughout the 21st century.
The 2008 Presidential candidates have all voiced support for energy
independence. For this reason,
American voters will choose a pro-energy independence candidate for
President in 2008. However, voters should understand that Republicans
and Democrats define energy independence differently.
While some Republicans reject the idea of energy independence, most Republicans
acknowledge and accept the need for energy security; indeed, many Republicans
are passionate about it. Republican candidates who advocate energy independence
are talking about economic and global energy security. When Republican
candidates speak of energy independence they are campaigning for expanding
oil production in Alaska and opening the oil fields off the coast of
California (an oil resource potentially larger than Iraq). Republicans
want all of
America's natural resources available for energy production, including
all federal lands that hold oil, natural gas, coal and oil
shale deposits. The estimated 800 billion barrels of recoverable
oil from oil shale located in the United States is three times
greater than the proven oil reserves of Saudi Arabia. Republicans also
support the development
of technology to produce coal-to-liquid transportation fuels—an American
resource that is greater than all of the oil in the Middle East.
On the other hand, when Democrats speak of energy independence they are
usually talking about independence from any and all fossil fuels as
well as independence from nuclear energy. Democrats tend to play down
or deny
the threat of oil financed Islamic militancy, preferring instead to
focus on the threat of Global Warming.
It
is important to acknowledge that energy independence and global warming
are separate issues. American voters need to understand
the relative priority. Global Warming is a sustainability issue that
must be solved
as the world
progresses toward complete global modernization. In contrast, global
oil dependence is an immediate threat, a clear and present danger. Metaphorically
speaking, the threat of greenhouse gas emissions is like the threat
of
cancer from prolonged cigarette smoking; In contrast, the threat of
oil financed terrorism is like a coiled rattlesnake immediately on the
path
in front of a day-dreaming hiker.
OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) produces about
40% of the world’s oil today, which translates to OPEC getting
40 cents on every dollar paid for oil anywhere in the world. Current
OPEC
members
are
Algeria,
Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,
UAE, and Venezuela. All are Islamic countries except Venezuela which
has partnered with Iran.
In 2007, over 700 billion dollars flowed into
OPEC from oil hungry countries around the world. How much of that
money was given to support the worldwide advance of Islamic terrorism?
With rising oil prices, OPEC revenue is expected to exceed one trillion
dollars in 2008.
It doesn’t matter where
oil comes from. If the oil comes from a well
in Wyoming, California, Texas, Canada, Mexico, Russia, or the North
Sea it doesn’t
make any difference because oil is a global commodity. The price is
the
same for everyone in the world. Demand anywhere increases demand everywhere.
So it is always true that OPEC gets 40 cents on every dollar paid for
oil anywhere in the world. It averages out to that fact.
Islamic terrorism, as a global threat to civilization, cannot sustain
itself without the massive oil revenue that finances it. (That does
not mean their feelings and beliefs will not sustain, it just means
they will have limited influence without the oil wealth.) Islamic militancy
is emboldened by the perception of power and dominance that Islam derives
from the world’s dependence on oil – oil that the world
must get from Arab countries. Eliminate world oil dependence and
the Islamic extremists will be deflated psychologically.
Ronald Reagan is credited for defeating Communism without firing a
shot; by economically isolating and suffocating the Soviet Union, while
at the same time enticing their leaders and people toward freedom. In
a similar way, initiating action toward achieving global independence
from petroleum (as a source of energy) will lead to the defeat of Islamic
terrorism.
| Which Candidate will lead America to energy
independence? |
“At the dawn of the twenty-first century, the country that faced
down the tyranny of fascism and communism is now called to challenge
the tyranny of oil. For the very resource that has fueled our way
of life over the last hundred years now threatens to destroy it
if our
generation does not act now and act boldly. We know what the dangers are here. We know that our oil addiction
is jeopardizing our national security - that we fuel our energy
needs by sending $800 million a day to countries that include some
of the
most despotic, volatile regimes in the world. We know that oil
money funds everything from the madrassas that plant the seeds of terror
in young minds to the Sunni insurgents that attack our troops
in
Iraq.”
U.S. Senator Barack Obama
Speech on Energy Policy: Watch
the Video or
Read the Text
May 07, 2007 The Detroit Economic Club
“Al
Qaeda must revel in the irony that America is effectively helping to
fund both
sides of the war.... As we sacrifice blood and treasure, some
of our gas dollars flow to the fanatics who build the bombs, hatch
the plots, and carry out attacks on our soldiers and citizens.... The
transfer of American wealth to the Middle East helps sustain the conditions
on which terrorists prey.”
U.S.
Senator John McCain Speech on Energy Policy: Watch
the Video or
Read the Text
April 23, 2007 Center for Strategic and International Studies
Energy: The Most
Important Issue of 2008
— Speech given by U.S. Senator Richard Lugar
(R-IN) on December 18, 2007 at the Brookings Institution on U.S. Energy
Security and the
2008 Presidential Election.
“Today, I would state unequivocally,
that energy security and the economic and environmental issues closely
associated with it should be the most
important topics of the 2008 Presidential election. I say this deliberately,
notwithstanding the existence of extremely important immediate concerns
such as the war in Iraq and the performance of the American economy,
as well as persistent public policy struggles that have confronted us
for decades, such as deficit reduction, health care, and social security.
I say this even in the context of my own long standing evangelism related
to non-proliferation and arms reduction, issues which I believe have
not diminished in importance.
“Three factors lead me to the conclusion
that energy is the most vital topic of this Presidential election. First,
energy is the issue with the widest gulf between what is required to make our
nation secure and what is likely
to be achieved through the inertia of existing programs and Congressional
proposals. As such, it is the issue on which meaningful progress most
depends on the great intangible in American public policymaking – the application
of dramatic, visionary, and sustained Presidential leadership.
“Congress and private enterprise can make
evolutionary energy advancements, but revolutionary national progress in the
energy field probably is dependent
on presidential action. Our energy dependence is perpetuated by a
lack of national will and focus. Only the President has the visibility to elevate
a cause to national status, and only the President can leverage the
buying
power, regulatory authority, and legislative leadership of an administration
behind solving a problem that is highly conducive to political procrastination
and partisanship.
“Second, transformational energy policies are likely to be a requirement
for achieving our economic and social aspirations here at home. In an era
when exploding global demand for energy creates high prices and fears of
scarcity, the U.S. economy is likely to continue to underperform. Our ability
to address social security, health care, education, and overall budget problems
will be heavily encumbered over both the short and the long run if we do
not mitigate our energy import dependence. Almost any scenario for recession
will be deepened by high energy costs. Moreover, many of the most severe
recession scenarios involve sustained energy disruptions due to terrorism,
war, embargo, or natural disaster.
“Third, energy is the underlying
condition that exacerbates almost every major foreign policy issue. We pressure
Sudan to stop genocide in Darfur,
but we find that the Sudanese government is insulated by oil revenue
and oil supply relationships. We pressure Iran to stop its uranium enrichment
activities, yet key nations are hesitant to endanger their access
to Iran’s
oil and natural gas. We try to foster global respect for civil society
and human rights, yet oil revenues flowing to authoritarian governments are
often diverted to corrupt or repressive purposes. We fight terrorism,
yet some of the hundreds of billions of dollars we spend each year on oil imports
are diverted to terrorists. We give foreign assistance to lift people
out
of poverty, yet energy-poor countries are further impoverished by
expensive energy import bills. We seek options that would allow for military
disengagement
in Iraq and the wider Middle East, yet our way of life depends on
a steady stream of oil from that region. American national security will be at
risk
as long as we are heavily dependent on imported energy.”
Strength and National Security through Energy Independence
Future wars could be prevented if everyone who has taken a stand against
the war in Iraq would turn their passion toward the goal of American Energy
Independence. Standing against war is not enough – Standing together
for Energy Independence will create a positive political force and a shared
national dream.
“...in my opinion, there never was a good War, or a bad Peace.
What vast additions to the Conveniences and Comforts of Living might
Mankind have acquired, if the Money spent in Wars had been employed
in Works of public utility!”
— Benjamin Franklin, 1783 - quoted from a letter to Joseph Banks.
Cost of the War in Iraq
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Compare with The
Cost of American Energy Independence
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Recommended reading:
Islam and oil By
Ron Bengtson, Founder, AmericanEnergyIndependence.com
Our Energy Challenge
By Nobel laureate Dr. Richard E. Smalley
Nexus—OIL and AL Qaeda — By
Frank H. Denton, Ph.D, U.S. Foreign Service (Retired)
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